Wednesday, July 08, 2009

Simplify your style.

If you cruise through trading blogs and web pages you can surely fill your head with enough crap and opinions to confuse your brain so much so that you won’t be an effective trader when the time comes to pull the trigger. These are days of much confusion in the markets. Are we going up or down? I say who cares what happens. Trade what you see on the screens in front of you. You don’t need to know what will happen and besides no one really knows anyway. So the best defense against this plague of too much information is to simplify.

I preach keeping it simple for a good reason. It works. After all, how many indicators, expectations and opinions do you need to put on a trade? How do you know what are right and what ones are wrong? My simple system is as follows: when I see red candles and the markets are tanking, I short sell. When I see green candles and the markets are rising I buy. I know when I see red candles people are bailing out of that stock. I know when I see green candles, people are buying into it. The market doesn’t lie and I don’t care to educate myself to try and out think it.

Further to keeping it simple, I practice only a few steps on my checklist before I put on a trade.

  1. Get into the flow. (I watch and recognize what the charts are doing in front of me)
  2. Feel the momentum. (Sure as shit if the stock is tanking, momo is on the downside)
  3. Confirm the markets. ( If the S&P and Q’s are tanking too, momo is there as well)
  4. Check the clock.(What time is it in relation to the 5 minute candle)
  5. Enter the trade. ( Since my trade parameters have been met, pull the trigger. That’s why I’m here)
  6. Set stop. ( Mental or hard since I never know what will happen in the future).
  7. Mange the trade. ( I’m looking for the momo to stop. Nothing else).

Now you can see that my role is reduced to a mere lever puller so to speak. My system does the work for me. I know my system works more often than not . Loses are kept small. Winners are left to run. I have no emotional interest in if stocks go up or down. I am both a machine operator (my system) and a machine ( I do the same things time after time without variation).

If you are having trouble trading because you have been inundated with too much information, give yourself a break and empty all the crap out of your head so that you can see clearly what is happening in the here and now.

Oh and get out of the big city for a while and do something in nature. Appreciate its simplicity, its way of doing things. Nature only works by one set of rules and it should be the same way with you.


Looking for weak stocks that have been run up during falling market times can pay back nicely. Cash in on pullbacks and general piledriving crashes.


like BBY

Gold stocks are all moving down nicely. Check out GG AEM ABX TCK




GG
Momentum wise, ETFs like SKF SRS FAZ are all showing strong moves to the upside. If the momo continues expect the ride to get wild as these things move like rocketships. If the momo stalls then pick away at profit taking candle by candle.

With the markets pointing down and 100 % red on my high low indictors going short is the only way to be at the moment. Don't be suckered into "dip buying" because things are cheaper now than before. Never add to a losing position if you are still holding out "hope".
The markets are providing great trading action both long and short.
If you don't like the current direction, wait a while and you can bet it will change. Follow the momentum and take profits when they are offered up.

S&P and QQQQ



Doldrum season got cancelled it seems. Inverse ETF ripping upward, everything else pile driving down. Good trading opportunities abound.

TNA













SKF















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