Some random observations from today:
-What happened today is what I thought was the likely scenario in mid January when I wrote this Fear & Greed Day Trader: How to trade in a wild, pile driving market.
Obviously I paid attention and saw the incessant march upwards instead so I traded it the way of least resistance. But I felt it was going to turn out bad for the longs when the music stopped. Today it did.
- Human brain beats algorithm. I touched on the subject here Fear & Greed Day Trader: Probabilities vs. expectations I had to chuckle to myself when I picked the bottom to cover my shorts. It was so obvious. The really interesting part happened moments later on the upswing. The spreads indicated the machines did not know what to do. Sell or buy, buy or sell? They were totally lost like a lost young kid at a crowded circus. I almost felt pity for them. Almost. I laughed instead. Consecutive multi dollar spreads on the buy and sell sides on a typically .01 - .05 spread stocks like TNA or AAPL shouted out to me the super brain PHDs that designed the algorithms can’t think out past what happens if this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this and this happens. A clear thinking human being can because we have the ability to adapt. I'll keep that one tucked away in my memory bank. Score one for flesh and blood.
- In mid January I also updated my computer to the latest, fastest processor and loads of RAM and any other trick to make me fast and reliable as possible on my end. As I witnessed in the fall of ‘08 there is a lot of information to process in a short amount of time. I was loaded up, sitting pretty and observing during the crash today so I didn’t need to do or have a problem selling. I was looking for the cue to cover instead. Buy orders were filled EZ. Every morning I also synchronize my computer clock to the official government clock so as to have no delays.
-I wonder if some trades will be broken by the exchanges.
- Wouldn’t a 2000 point down or up day be something to trade tomorrow? Nothing is impossible.